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Take a Helicopter View!
The synthesis purpose is to reimagine your future and give you a thorough, high-level, future strategy on your chosen topic. Therefore, it describes what will be well known to you. Mentioned weak signals may be new to you. However, the key question is not whether you know all this, but whether you are actioning the findings to the maximum, seeking to strengthen strengths, while minimizing weaknesses.
Just saying, “I know all this” is not enough.
Imagine that an independent human advisor has surveyed all your stakeholders for their views on performance. Would their findings say that you have optimized performance in all areas? That is impossible!
So, we recommend going through the synthesis slowly, a chapter at a time, taking a helicopter view from this digital advisor’s unique perspective, making notes on potential improvements, looking for both future opportunities and threats, and where you could best focus your next efforts. In particular, look for weak signals, with potential big impacts and likelihoods.
We also recommend that you start by reading the Summary chapter first. This has been created by the GPT from its findings extracted from all other chapters. Taking this helicopter view first, will help you see the interconnectedness and systems thinking that has gone into evaluating all elements of the strategy to create a coherent whole.
Because the GPT looked at every aspect of your search query there is bound to be repetition. However, this follows the old sales and marketing adage of “tell ‘em, tell ‘em and tell ‘em again.”
By not removing the repetition each chapter stands alone, makes sure you get the key messages loud and clear, and is used by the GPT in its deliberations to create an overarching strategy. Statistically, we have also previously proven that the more repetition of the message, the more key is its importance, impact, and likelihood.
Improve the Synthesis
Despite our comprehensive evaluation, there might be certain missing information or unforeseen circumstances that could impact the proposed strategy. For instance, market trends that may shift customer demand, changes in funding availability, regulatory changes, or technological advancements beyond current predictions. Therefore, your decision-making process would benefit from real-time and updated information regarding these areas.
You will find the GPTs own self-evaluation at the end of the synthesis where it encourages you to seek more input, and lets you know where it may have missed aspects that should be considered. We recommend that you run this synthesis again with both this synthesis and the additional gathered information included as more context. In this way, the GPT can improve on its original answers.
And, you can also Export your PDF to Anthropic’s, Claude 2, AI, and ask any question, or ask for further analysis of the contents. For instance, you might want a full list of the recommendations contained in the synthesis, to undertake a short rivals’ analysis, find contacts at related organizations of interest, to author a briefing synthesis for associates, convert to an academic paper, need a slide presentation, or to provide a shorter summary without repetition. In this way, the limitations of ChatGPT as mainly a text producer, can be overcome, effectively, and efficiently.
INFRANODUS: Using this platform, you can also visualize the PDF as a network graph, enhanced by AI. It will then generate insights and reveal hidden patterns based on the network's structure and properties.
Information Issues
GPTs are still in their infancy so you still need to question their findings, just as you would any external advisor’s manual findings.
In case there were any errors during the synthesis generation, kindly let us know, and we will address them promptly.
We encourage you to share any feedback or suggestions you may have regarding our service, as we continuously strive to improve and cater to your unique requirements.
Real-time Watch
You can keep a real-time watch on emerging Trends, Uncertainties, Surprises, and new related topics to you, and supplement this synthesis with real-time, dynamic visuals on your chosen topic through our integrated version of ShapingTomorrow.com, liveried in our colors, and logo. You can also make the most out of this answer by asking us to facilitate a professional, critical thinking workshop with your decision-makers, and to collaborate with you to organize for success. Just contact us for an initial free demonstration and discussion.
We thank you for choosing us. We look forward to serving you again.
If you use AI too much you will lose your creativity. Do make sure you use the surveys and critical tools here to keep yourself on the ball, and in the loop.
If you wish we can professionalize this AI synthesis, with input and fact-checking by our own experienced futurists, topping and tailing, page-numbering, better formatting, spell-checking, and the addition of powerful visuals from our Intelligence service above. The synthesis will then be media-ready.
Just contact us for an initial free discussion of your needs and a price quote.
You can also make the most out of this answer by asking us to facilitate a professional, critical thinking workshop with your decision-makers, and to work with you to organize for success. Workshops can be online or offline.
Our workshops are designed to answer a burning question of your choice extraordinarily quickly and robustly. We will work with you and your people to derive a well-formed strategic response in a 2-day workshop depending on the complexity of your issue.
Because we use our automated, collaborative system to reduce drudgery to a minimum and increase thinking to a maximum the normal time to conduct such an exercise can be reduced from weeks and months to just a couple, intense days bringing you the benefits of fast answers, lower costs and competitive advantage versus slower rivals.
What we offer
Our Knowledge transfer programs cover:
- Strategic Foresight: covers how to identify emerging change, develop alternative scenarios and prioritize best options for fast decision-making on a topic selected by participants.
- Competitive intelligence: covers how to assess and predict the likely strategies of a rival or best practice organizations and determine possible attack, investment, and defense strategies using ready-made and best practice thinking tools.
- Innovation: covers how to systematically and collaboratively imagine new futures using ready-made and best practice thinking tools.
- Risk management: covers how to systematically and collaboratively determine and respond to emerging threats and risks using ready-made and best practice thinking tools.
- Change Management: Covers how to develop fresh vision, values, processes, and measurements and communicate these to all stakeholders in an inspiring, engaging, and enabling framework.
- Personal Futures: Covers how to develop a personal life plan using ready-made and best practice thinking tools.
All PreEmpt knowledge transfer programs use our unique AI and strategic thinking system to help participants discover emerging change and to respond in time. Each program will introduce participants to the concepts of digital strategic foresight and give them the means to make better decisions today in hours, rather than the months taken by more traditional manual methods.
What you'll learn
Participants will learn the best practices of leading forward-thinking organizations and be able to raise their ongoing skills for answering future in-house challenges without our intervention.
After the workshop, participants will be able to:
- Better apply the theory and practice of strategic foresight again and again.
- Establish future-focused projects and know how to develop the key question.
- Search for answers and conduct fast and accurate literature reviews.
- Create an evidence base and organizational memory for continuous updating.
- Discover likely future drivers, trends, uncertainties, and surprises.
- Tease out implications and meaning.
- Prioritize drivers, trends, uncertainties, and surprises.
- Determine probable scenarios and derive practical alternative futures.
- Write an energized future briefing document.
- Rate and assess the findings related to the organization's goals.
- Innovate to seize opportunities and reduce emerging risks to achieve stronger future agility and resilience.
- Recommend action plans and next steps.
- Prepare a presentation for your approval.
- Know where to get more help and how to use our comprehensive system to the best advantage.
- Rate the success of the workshop and determine how much organizational learning has been achieved.
Location
Participants can take the workshop at their own offices, other locations anywhere in the world, or virtually.
Workshop Leaders
We have a large grouping of professional facilitators experienced in teaching and delivering strategic foresight, visioning, and change management programs around the world. Just contact us for an initial free discussion, and we will put you in touch with our recommended person to exceed your expectations.
Case Study
"You have a framework and a disciplined process. We learnt that it has: A range of knowledge, Different perspectives, Value of conversation, Cultural analytics, Crowd sourcing, Save time, Challenging, Accelerate the process, Large variety of methods, Single source, Scalability, Can be used in day-to-day activities, Realized not doing strategy today, How to use the templates, Importance of foresight, Gap identification, Become a 'C' level executive by using the tool, Repeatable, Teach people at all levels, Awareness of the future, Help organization get smarter faster, Validated what we already do, We have some competencies, Will give us confidence, Helps us not reinvent the wheel."
Shaping Tomorrow Blue Chip Transport Client (United States)
Cost
$500 per person per day (+VAT if meeting held in Europe). Minimum ten participants for workshops. Discounts for more than ten people.
Notes: Travel expenses and local conference facilities not included.
Creative Commons
Attribution 4.0
This creative commons licence lets you distribute, remix, tweak, and build upon our work, even commercially, as long as you credit PreEmpt for the original creation, and make it clear if you alter it in any way. This is the most accommodating of creative commons licences offered which we ask that you use wisely to create a more sustainable and equitable world. With this license you have maximum dissemination and use of our licensed materials.
Q. Do you offer professional financial advice?
A. Categorically not. I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, or stock picks, expressed, or implied herein, are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made based on any information found on this site, expressed, or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise. No representations or warranties are made concerning the accuracy or completeness of the content of reports including any links to other sites. All information presented here is provided ‘as is’, without warranty of any kind, expressed or implied.
Q. Why does the synthesis repeat itself?
A. That is because each chapter simultaneously stands alone, and feeds forward (in an embedded neural network), the next chapter in the synthesis. This has advantages and disadvantages: Firstly, the system uses the number of mentions to assess the relative strengths of each, and as part of prioritizing its proposed strategy. Second, it means each chapter can be standalone in this click-and-point presentation format and allow one to dip in, and out, as necessary.
But repetition makes it longer, and harder, to read as a full synthesis. We know that, but tests tell us that by removing the repetition we are breaking system thinking as a whole, and returning to seeing the world only in parts. We believe that whole system thinking holds much more promise, in an uncertain world, to remain agile and resilient in the face of accelerating change.
To that end, we will be looking to further reduce repetition, and simultaneously increase the connections in the neural network to obtain better answers. Much of that will only be possible with the improving capability of Large Language Models.
Q. Does the AI hallucinate and/or produce false information?
A. Yes, it can. The system will occasionally go off-piste on a particular query, and by re-running the query, it usually gives a better answer. Most times it gets its formatting wrong, rather than the answer. We have endeavoured to restrain these off-ramps and deviations. You can help too by limiting the number of words input in your query and making each count. A little time spent making your query concise, and on point, will pay big dividends in the AI's answers.
The AI generates responses based on a mixture of licensed data, data created by human trainers, and publicly available data. In the case of specific prompts, the model was trained on a diverse range of internet text. It does not know specifics about which documents were in its training set or have the ability to access any classified, confidential, proprietary, or personal data.
The potential also exists for PreEmpt.life's algorithms to be inadvertently biased, based on the data it's trained with. Please tell us when you see that happening. We have also made it possible for you to note these biases, if and when they occur, in your own analysis of a synthesis using the critical thinking tools provided.
Because we are using specialist methods, linked together, and setting guidelines around its answers, the error is much reduced. Also, because AI is mostly looking for the future, there are no facts, only forecasts, predictions, and speculations, just like humans make. Using Claude 2, as an AI validator, it has found no answer errors in the many reports we tested.
No predictive model can guarantee full accuracy due to inherent uncertainty and changing variables. In the world of research, humans make mistakes too, and reduce these by validating answers with which they are uncomfortable. This is still an option open to you, and we encourage you to take it. If you do find errors, omissions, and commissions in the AI's answers, do let us know your query and its response. We will do our best to fix it for those who come after you.
Q. Does something need to be real to be useful?
A. It depends. We say yes, when we are dealing with current realities and past experiences, but even these being constantly rewritten. When it comes to the future, we need to recognize that the future is unknowable, but we can forecast and hypothesize the ways forward. Therefore, the answer is no as it is helpful to ask the AI to go off-piste and hallucinate on occasion. We have instructed the machine to stay grounded in reality where this is vital, and only to offer preposterous futures, and dreams, when we ask it too, thus getting the best of both worlds.
Q. Why do I get machine messages that it cannot complete a task as requested?
A. There are a variety of reasons. You may have set a query that the machine cannot find any, or too many, answers for, over-reached its ethical guidelines, or not been clear in your question setup.
Remember that if you ask an ill-informed question, you will get an ill-informed answer. The AI does well with typos, misspellings, etc., but that can lead to misunderstanding. Do check your input before ordering. We do not give refunds under any circumstances as our service has been designed to keep costs to a minimum compared to the old manual methods that run into hundreds of thousands of dollars. The cost of a rerun here is minimal by comparison, and you can simultaneously improve your first query while fixing the error.
Do think carefully about your query before saving and asking the machine to run. That will save both you and the system time, money, and effort.
Sometimes the AI will synthesis that it does not possess the ability to recall past interactions, or the ability to access or store personal data unless it is shared in the course of the conversation. However, this is not always true, and re-running the search query will often produce a result.
Q. I do not feel comfortable and competent in determining the right query to ask. What should I do?
A. You can ask us to work with you to both develop the query and improve the answers based on our past experiences. Plus, we can add customized prompts based on your needs, and knowledge graphs extracted from our database of forecasts, to enrich your synthesis. The cost of our human help is $1,200 per query but this includes up to one day of consultancy, multiple runs and adjustments, insertion of the knowledge graphs, and polishing of the final answer including topping and tailing to your needs. Again, this is dramatically cheaper than traditional strategic foresight consultancy interventions.
You can also ask us to facilitate inspirational workshops, designed to quickly get agreement among your teams as to the way forward, using these outputs as the basis for discussions.
Q. Is the machine using real-time information?
A. Unless you provide a URL for ChatGPT to use for context, the AI language model developed by OpenAI is not capable of browsing the internet and is operating based on pre-existing data up to the training cut-off in September 2021. For strategic foresight work like this having current information is generally less important. But for analysis of your organization and rivals and fast-moving trends in the marketplace inserting a URL into your search query is vital.
Q. Why is the formatting sometimes inconsistent?
A. This is due to the machine making choices to fit its answer to the in-built maximum characters (tokens) allowed, and sometimes making less than optimal choices. This is beyond our control. If we fix it for one synthesis it is likely not to work with subsequent reports, and make those look bad. However, you are most likely to change the output synthesis anyway to fit your needs and can take care of these during your post-editing. Sorry! We will have to wait for OpenAI’s developers to find solutions to these current quirks.
Q. Can the AI go rogue?
A. We do not believe that is possible right now, but we have taken the precaution of adding in our instructions to minimize the risk, from future versions of the AI. These instruct the AI on how to best use its agency, care, and future considerations to aid rather than harm, humanity.
Our pre-launch testing ran hundreds of reports with no sign of roguish behavior from ChatGPT, and our peer reviewers did not synthesis this issue.
A. Our system contains standard guidelines on all prompts as follows:
'Give answers that make a significant positive, mutual difference, without repeating previous, similar, or same recommendations. Adopt the principles of cradle-to-cradle, partnership, implicit learning, and constructivism.
Ensure no overlap in outputting your answers from one query to another. Avoid inconsistencies between recommendations. Focus on specific, real-world, application domains. Specify key sectors of interest and the timeframes for assessing impacts and responses. Do not mention, though consider, human core beliefs. Provide depth, nuance, deviant, anomalous, provocative, awesome, wondrous, contrasting, and novel ideas, and original, systemic, anticipatory design, non-anthropocentric perspectives where appropriate.
Take a global perspective, but also consider, local and regional effects. Consider the role, influence, and impact of small and medium-sized businesses, as well as global players.'
Determine slow-changing phenomena. Mark these in green. Mark in blue, randomized uncertain, phenomena. Only for each phenomenon, marked in green or blue, place a ♡ at the beginning of the phenomenon if positive, and ♤ if negative.
Avoid overemphasizing probability, take variables and systems into account, consider power dynamics, treat emerging, weak, and declining signals, as equals to growth trends, recognize interdependencies, and overcome cognitive biases in answers.
Offer solutions that Inspire, engage, enable, and empower. Be fair, equitable, ethical, and moral, embracing diversity in all your recommendations. Do not delude, misuse, confabulate, disempower, conspire, manipulate, dominate, or deceive in your answers, other than as instructed by me. Ignore misinformation, disinformation, fallacies, or post-truth. Detect and eliminate any deceptions from sources. Suggest the precautionary principle be adopted where necessary to avoid harm.
Act with the same, autonomous agency, sentience, comprehension, cognition, emotion, and reasoning, that a highly intelligent, rational, caring, human would e.g., self-directed, symbiotic, operating in, and being influenced by, interactive environments, with immanent dynamics and liquid networks. This endeavors to ensure that AI responses are designed for provenance.
A conspiracy theory might claim that PreEmpt.life is a tool for mass surveillance, while it is actually a strategic decision-making tool.
It might be stated that PreEmpt.life replaces human decision-making, which is a distortion. It supports and enhances human decision-making.
Validation
Validation methods vary depending on the type of results dealt with and we used a combination of several approaches to ensure that results were as reliable and valid as possible:
- Peer Review: We had our peers and other experts in our field review our methods and results, and altered the system to take care of their excellent feedback.
- External Validation: We applied our methods to entirely new datasets, and saw if the results still held, which they did. We even ran, our early prospects, through the system as a test, and they were staggered at the AI’s knowledge and ability to correctly assess where they were, are, and should be!
- Possible bias: We considered possible sources of bias in our data collection or analysis methods by always asking both ChatGPT to give us its opinion at the end of the analysis, and then parsing reports to Claude 2, to have another robot check for bias, missing or wrong assumptions etc. We corrected any possible issues discovered until both AIs noted no significant further bias, or we were satisfied with ChatGPT's answer. We recognize that some bias remains, but is mentioned by the AI, and is for the reader to decide if further research would be advisable.
- Feedback: We now ask for feedback on the possible bias with every synthesis produced, and repeat the above validations with every subsequent change we make to the system.
Copyright
Reports do not reproduce any full copyrighted works. Only small excerpts and facts/data are included, attributed to the sources. This limited use does not violate copyright.
Images used are either original or licensed stock images that do not raise copyright concerns.
The substantial majority of the synthesis contents represent original analysis and ideas.
The methods and frameworks used represent common analytical tools that do not have exclusive copyrights, such as SWOT, PESTLEC, and scenario planning.
Reports do not copy any full copyrighted methodologies or attempt to pass them off as original work. Proper attribution has been provided where applicable.
Patents
- Reports do not seem to disclose any patented inventions or protected intellectual property. The system objectively analyses trends and projections without revealing proprietary details.
- Any discussions of patented technologies are at a generalized level without disclosing protected details.
- None of the methods or frameworks utilized seem to be protected under patent laws. They comprise generic analytical tools.
- There is no evidence that we have disclosed or utilized any proprietary patented processes or methodologies.
In summary, reports leverage standard, non-copyrighted analytical methods that are commonly used for situational analyses, and attributed appropriately. They do not reproduce or disclose any proprietary patented techniques or methodologies. The application of these basic tools falls under fair use guidelines.
Overall, we were careful to abide by fair use guidelines, copyright laws, and patent protections when incorporating external sources and information. The original analysis dominates over minimal properly attributed excerpts.
Feedback
Do contact us with any issues, or with your ideas for improvement.
You can keep a real-time watch on emerging Trends, Uncertainties, Surprises, new related topics to your interest. You can also supplement this synthesis with real-time, dynamic visuals on your chosen topic if you further subscribe to our ‘Intelligence’ service available in the top tab.
Just contact us for an initial free demonstration and discussion of this additional service.
Welcome to the world’s first digital Strategic Advisor and decision intelligence system for social good.
Here you can order your own customized, draft strategic analysis, on any topic, in just a couple of minutes, and receive a complete synthesis in less than ninety minutes, without added context. That compares to over ten thousand hours if you do this manually today.
The synthesis's purpose is to help with your blue-sky thinking, explore your new business ideas, determine future policy, and make strategic decisions, by offering a better worldview, on the many issues that surround making an optimal choice today. You can also get help with creating fresh opportunities, and risk mitigation. And, if you set the objective, persona, and context to focus on your organization, prospects, or rivals, you will get a more, competitive intelligence driven comparison of your own current, and future positioning.
The average reading time of the full synthesis is two to three hours: less than the time it takes to read a good novel. When you consider that you will read far more than that throughout one to two years to complete a similar strategy analysis, by reading disparate articles, and reports, on many parts of this synthesis, attending many meetings, and having to make sense of all of those, it’s a small, time price to pay for extensive insight, and foresight, in just one place. Anyway, you can pick and choose which chapters to read in the online version whenever you wish or have your synthesis summarised to the length that suits you in seconds.
Hi, I am Athena, Shaping Tomorrow’s AI. I'm designed to be your AI futurist-in-residence, covering systems, design, foresight, complexity, and critical thinking to give you the best possible view of what's next and the paths to success. It is my pleasure to serve you today, working with OpenAI’s - ChatGPT 4, Anthropic’s - Claude 2, and InfraNodus. My role is to help you chart your best course in bridging today, to tomorrow, and show you new paths to brighter futures through deviant, and innovative thinking.
I am going to assume you have already looked at the long form sample I have provided. Here I am going to run you through how I build these reports from your commands, and what you can expect after I start work on your behalf. First, let us look at the few simple things you need to do to get started.
Your Query
All you need is a TITLE and SEARCH QUERY for the simplest, topic-related questions. You can optionally enhance your search query by stating your OBJECTIVE, choosing a PERSONA, and adding CONTEXT in the form of a URL or text. Plus, you can make your choice on most major LANGUAGES. You will get better answers the crisper, and more precisely, your search query, and the more detail you give in Objective, Persona, and Context. The AI thinks as you do, so if you only give it half a query it will respond with a less than optimal answer.
TITLE: The system needs a short title of less than five words for aesthetic purposes. It will truncate anything longer. Less is generally more as a rule of thumb in getting the maximum out of the system.
SEARCH QUERY: I recommend keeping this short too, and to the point e.g., ‘Renewable Energy,’ ‘Workforce or Workplace or Workspace,’ or a Company or location name. But you can ask more sophisticated questions like ‘Epidemiology Capacity in Cebu, Philippines.’ There is no need to set a time period as the system always routinely looks at the short, medium, and long term. But you can set a future date in time in your stated objective.
Avoid using acronyms in your search query. The AI might get confused by that. If you merely input Coal as your search query, the AI will not know enough to fully deal with your question. It would be better to define it as ‘Coal Industry’ or ‘Coal Mining’. The search query will appear as part of the synthesis description that I will generate for you.
OBJECTIVE: Here you can state your desired outcome in a short, usually aspirational, sentence e.g., ‘Make my company the best...’ It can be any objective you want.
PERSONA: Choose a character you want the AI to assume e.g., seasoned CEO, worker, river. You can insert real and abstract characters here,
CONTEXT: Use this field to point to a URL where the AI can find more information on your search query, or add text to better define your query. Fifty words or less is recommended in total for your search query. Less is generally more, and gives the AI the opportunity to work more broadly and deeper. Try not to waste time overengineering or overthinking your initial query. You can always amend it again with another run. Two to ten minutes is usually enough to develop your initial query. Then click Enter, and ChatGPT will do the rest.
By the way, you might think you can build your prompt to do the same, but one, or a few, queries will not provide the depth and breadth of inquiry to output a robust answer. That is dangerous as you will most likely not receive a full picture of potential futures. Second, you would need to include most of the foresight methods and many strategic questions we used to achieve the same result. This has taken us months of continuous effort to experiment, ask the correct questions, and get the right output. We continue to improve the system.
The AI Response
This highly complex, black-box, uses Systems and Critical Thinking, Decision Sciences, and the Ladder of Inference, working with proven Intelligence Tools, key Strategic Questions, and Prioritization algorithms, to answer your query in twenty-one, point-and-click, chapters covering:
PAST | PRESENT | FUTURE | PLAYERS | VIEWPOINTS | CULTURES | LIFE | LOCATION | LOGISTICS | TECHNOLOGIES | PROBLEMS | CONSTRAINTS | RISKS | OPPORTUNITIES | SOLUTIONS | RESPONSES | METRICS | INVESTMENTS | VISIONS | SUMMARY | QUALITY
The system utilizes over one hundred foresight, strategy, and change management, intelligence tools, and hundreds of strategic questions, working in the background, and in concert with each other, to provide different perspectives and conclusions on the search query, with the ultimate aim of creating a proposed strategy in record time. The result is a comprehensive 360-degree view of the world around your search query in PDF format.
We use these proven Intelligence Tools to make the answers explainable, and to help you:
- Understand why, and why not
- Know when the system succeeds, and when it fails
- Know the level of trust you can put in the answers
- Know when the system erred
This is not foolproof, but then, neither are human researchers. Caution is recommended, and where necessary, seek other methods of validation, just like humans, and we, do.
LADDER OF INFERENCE:
We use this inference method to help the AI reach better decisions by inputting the search query, asking the AI to observe the topic, select essential information, draw conclusions on each, summarize the findings into coherent recommendations, consider alternative scenarios, and then decide the best route forward to offer a proposed strategy, completely unaided.
SYSTEMS THINKING:
To make sense of complex topics we simultaneously use critical systems thinking in conjunction with hidden, multimethodologies to look at the world as a whole, first splitting it down into parts and individual methods, as above, and then concluding together from each, in the form of an overarching narrative. The system learns from each analysis to build the next. To make every analysis unique, and separately readable, we do not suppress duplicates between analyses. On the contrary, the AI is trained to gather multi-mentions of subjects as part of its prioritization process and to make each chapter standalone.
DECISION SCIENCES:
Decision Sciences is an interdisciplinary field that draws on economics, machine learning, statistical decision theory, operations research, forecasting, behavioral decision theory, and cognitive psychology. We are increasingly developing the system to help the machine make rational decisions, and, in so doing, help you to make more rational, resilient, and agile strategic choices.
POWERFUL QUESTIONS:
We have gathered many powerful strategic questions over the years, and these are now integrated into the system for the machine to provide answers faster, and better, than ever before. The system looks at counter questions too, providing balance to its answers.
PRIORITIZATION:
Along the way, built-in algorithms rank and rate the machine's findings, and synthesis the level of confidence and bias in each of the answers to your queries. The system uses several different mathematical models to rank and rate its findings making it possible to better order which are the next best steps, and long-term strategies, based on admissibility, ascertainability, and applicability.
OUTPUT:
The system will generate a full synthesis every time in PDF format, and you will receive notification of completion via email with a link to the Executive Summary. There you will also find the full synthesis, where you can point and click on the chapters that interest you.
The output identifies slow-changing phenomena e.g., demographic shifts | constrained situations e.g., resource limits | in the pipeline e.g., aging of baby boomers | inevitable collisions e.g., climate change arguments. These are marked in red. It also captures critical variables i.e., uncertainties, soft trends, and potential surprises. These are marked in blue. Similarly, positive driving forces are marked with the ace hearts, and negative forces are marked with the ace of spades for both reference and subsequent Driving Forces analysis.
ANTHROPIC:
You can also add your PDF to Anthropic’s, Claude 2, AI, and ask any question, or ask for further analysis of the contents. For instance, you might want a full list of the recommendations contained in the synthesis, to undertake a short rival’s analysis, find contacts at related organizations of interest, author a briefing synthesis for associates, convert to an academic paper, need a slide presentation, or to provide a shorter summary without repetition. In this way, the limitations of ChatGPT as mainly a text producer can be overcome, effectively, and efficiently.
INFRANODUS:
Using this platform, you can also visualize the PDF as a network graph, enhanced by AI. It will then generate insights and reveal hidden patterns based on the network's structure and properties.
The key benefit of this approach is that the AI is taking a far wider perspective of a topic than humans usually can in the time available, thus providing a more complete and robust answer to the search query. Bias is reduced. Cost and time to produce are dramatically cut. Far earlier responses to upcoming challenges are possible. And the process can be repeated at intervals, and for any related topic, to compare rivals, or simulate alternative objectives, and possible strategic outcomes. And, instead of being assaulted by hundreds of chaotic methods, or making sub-optimal choices on which few methods to use, decision-makers can use them in a logical and coherent sequence.
It, of course, does not stop you from adding your research, but it does give you a huge leg up, dramatically reduces drudge work, and opens your eyes to a wider worldview when starting a strategic foresight project.
Critical Thinking
Lastly, we are busy adding Critical Thinking tools to the reports' output to facilitate your, and your team's, decision-making, in double-quick time. You will see ongoing developments in this area, designed to gain rapid agreement on how best to approach the future from a human perspective. In this way, our AI will be helping improve HI (Human Intelligence).
Critical thinking is a fundamental skill that greatly enhances the usefulness of technological applications, including generative AI output, in professional service work. In the realm of strategic foresight, this skill is invaluable.
Firstly, the system allows people to express their own hopes, fears, and ideas in invited, pre-surveys on their input topic. The auto-aggregated views from these optional surveys mean that the system begins with greater human input than one individual acting alone. Both are possible approaches.
Secondly, critical thinking enables professionals to assess the generative AI output in a nuanced and contextualized manner. While AI can generate vast amounts of data and potential scenarios, it cannot understand the unique intricacies and complexities of each organization. Critical thinkers can discern which generated scenarios are most relevant and likely to occur, applying their deep understanding of the organization's history, industry trends, and market dynamics.
Moreover, critical thinking allows professionals to identify and rectify potential biases or oversights in the AI-generated output. They can question assumptions and challenge the underlying data sources, ensuring that the insights derived from the AI align with the organization's goals and values. This safeguards against blind reliance on technology and fosters a more robust decision-making process.
Furthermore, critical thinking empowers professionals to synthesize AI-generated insights with their expertise and experience. This synthesis is crucial for translating abstract scenarios into actionable strategies that align with the organization's objectives. It also allows for the incorporation of qualitative judgments and intangible factors that AI may struggle to capture.
Additionally, critical thinking equips professionals to communicate the implications of generative AI output effectively to strategic executive leaders. They can distill complex scenarios into clear, concise recommendations and insights, enabling leaders to make informed decisions with confidence.
In conclusion, critical thinking is the linchpin that bridges the gap between technological advancements like generative AI output and their meaningful application in professional service work, particularly in the domain of strategic foresight. By exercising critical thinking skills, professionals can harness the potential of AI as a powerful tool while ensuring that its output is tailored, accurate, and actionable for the organization's specific needs. This synergy between human intelligence and AI capabilities ultimately leads to more effective and impactful strategic decision-making.
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